The simmering maritime conflict between Vietnam and China reached a critical flashpoint that continues to define 2024's geopolitical landscape, centering on a single Chinese research vessel. This is not an isolated incident; as of late 2024, the deployment and interception of Chinese research ships within Vietnam’s Exclusive Economic Zone (EEZ) has become a high-stakes "grey zone" tactic, pushing the two nations to the brink of confrontation and challenging the fundamental principles of international law in the South China Sea (or East Sea, as Vietnam calls it).
The most prominent and defining event of this ongoing tension involved the Chinese survey ship *Xiang Yang Hong 10* (XYH-10), whose months-long intrusion in 2023 set a dangerous precedent for the kind of maritime brinkmanship now standard in 2024 and 2025. This incident underscores a critical shift: China is increasingly using nominally civilian vessels to assert its expansive and contested "Nine-Dash Line" claims, forcing Vietnam to commit its own Coast Guard and Fisheries Surveillance fleets to a costly and risky defense of its sovereign waters.
The Anatomy of the Intercept: The *Xiang Yang Hong 10* Flashpoint
The intercept of the *Xiang Yang Hong 10* (XYH-10) was a prolonged and intense confrontation that captured global attention, serving as the definitive case study for China’s modern maritime strategy against Vietnam. It was a direct challenge to Vietnam's sovereign rights over its continental shelf and EEZ, established under the United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea (UNCLOS).
- The Intrusion Vessel: The *Xiang Yang Hong 10* is a Chinese oceanographic research vessel, part of a class of ships that Beijing often uses for dual-purpose operations—collecting valuable hydrographic and seismic data that can have both civilian and military applications.
- The Critical Location: The intrusion occurred in Vietnam's EEZ, specifically near the Vanguard Bank (Bãi Tư Chính). This area is strategically vital because it is a rich zone for oil and gas exploration, where Vietnam has ongoing energy projects, including some with Russian firms.
- The Duration and Nature of Activity: The XYH-10, accompanied by a formidable escort flotilla of China Coast Guard (CCG) vessels and maritime militia fishing boats, operated within Vietnam's EEZ for nearly a month, conducting unauthorized seismic surveys.
- Vietnam's Response: Hanoi responded with both diplomatic and maritime force. The Vietnamese Foreign Ministry issued a formal and rare diplomatic protest, demanding the immediate withdrawal of the survey ship and its escorts. Simultaneously, the Vietnam Coast Guard and Fisheries Surveillance vessels were deployed to shadow and intercept the Chinese flotilla in a tense, month-long standoff.
This prolonged confrontation was a clear example of "grey zone" tactics—actions that fall short of outright military conflict but aggressively challenge a nation's sovereignty, forcing a response that risks escalation.
China's Dual-Use Strategy: Why 'Research' Ships are a Geopolitical Weapon
The core issue is that China’s research fleet, including the *Xiang Yang Hong* class, is not viewed by its neighbors as purely scientific. The vessels are designed for dual-use, blurring the lines between marine science and military intelligence gathering.
Gathering Critical Data: The seismic surveys and hydrographic research conducted by these vessels are essential for understanding the seabed composition, which is crucial for submarine operations, resource extraction, and military navigation. When conducted without permission in another nation’s EEZ, this activity is a direct violation of international law and a clear act of intelligence gathering.
The Escort Flotilla: The presence of a large escort—consisting of China Coast Guard (CCG) ships and the maritime militia—transforms the research vessel from a scientific platform into a protected state asset used to assert territorial claims. The CCG vessels engage in dangerous maneuvers, including shadowing, blocking, and cutting off Vietnamese vessels, to protect the surveyor's operations. This tactic is designed to wear down the Vietnamese forces and normalize the presence of Chinese state vessels in contested waters.
Infringement on UNCLOS: By operating within Vietnam’s internationally recognized 200-nautical-mile EEZ without permission, the XYH-10 incident represents a flagrant disregard for UNCLOS. China's actions are consistently based on its maximalist "Nine-Dash Line" claim, which has no basis in international law but serves as the political justification for its intrusions.
Escalation and the New Normal in 2024/2025
The pattern established by the *Xiang Yang Hong 10* incident has solidified the "new normal" in the South China Sea for 2024 and 2025: a constant state of low-level, high-tension maritime policing.
Increased Vietnamese Deployment: To counter these persistent intrusions, Vietnam has been forced to increase the deployment of its own vessels, including the Vietnam Coast Guard and Fisheries Surveillance vessels, to maintain a constant presence in its EEZ. This defensive posture is resource-intensive and carries a high risk of miscalculation, where a minor collision or aggressive maneuver could spiral into a serious international incident.
Impact on Energy Ambitions: The primary objective of these Chinese intrusions is often to intimidate foreign partners and disrupt Vietnam’s offshore oil and gas exploration projects. By making the operational area unsafe and politically volatile, Beijing aims to stall Vietnam’s energy ambitions and assert de facto control over the region's hydrocarbon resources. The 2023 incident effectively put a chill on several key projects near Vanguard Bank.
International Silence and Geopolitical Stakes: While the US and other international partners closely monitor the situation, the broader diplomatic response from regional bodies like ASEAN remains slow. Efforts to finalize a Code of Conduct (COC) for the South China Sea between ASEAN and China have been proceeding at a "languid pace," failing to keep up with the rapid pace of maritime confrontations. This lack of a strong, unified regional mechanism means individual nations like Vietnam must bear the primary burden of defense.
The continued activity of Chinese vessels, including other ships in the class like the *Xiang Yang Hong 01* and *Xiang Yang Hong 03* in various contested waters, confirms that the use of dual-use research ships is a central pillar of China's strategy to incrementally assert control over the South China Sea.
The High Cost of Maritime Sovereignty
The Vietnam-China research ship intercept demonstrates the high cost of defending maritime sovereignty against a larger, more aggressive power employing "grey zone" tactics. For Vietnam, the constant deployment of its vessels, the diplomatic strain, and the threat to its vital energy resources represent a significant national security challenge.
As 2025 approaches, the international community must recognize that these intercepts are not merely technical disputes over navigation; they are calculated moves to alter the geopolitical reality of the South China Sea. The future stability of the region hinges on whether international law, championed by nations like Vietnam, can prevail against the persistent, low-grade aggression of state-sponsored maritime fleets.
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