The TRUTH About When One Piece Will End: Analyzing Eiichiro Oda's Final Saga Timeline (2025 Update)

For years, fans have been on a rollercoaster of speculation, but as of December 2025, the long-standing rumor that the One Piece manga would conclude this year has officially been debunked. While creator Eiichiro Oda had confidently stated back in 2020 that the epic would wrap up in about four or five years, the sheer magnitude of the Final Saga has pushed the timeline back, confirming that the adventures of Monkey D. Luffy and the Straw Hat Pirates are far from over. This update dives into the most current information, analyzes the remaining plot points, and provides the most realistic prediction for the series' grand finale.

The journey to find the legendary treasure, the One Piece, has entered its climactic phase, the Final Saga, but the story's complexity demands more time than initially projected. With the Egghead Arc recently concluding and the crew now navigating toward the legendary island of Elbaf, the story is moving at a breakneck pace, yet several monumental events must still occur before the final chapter is penned. Forget 2025; here is the definitive breakdown of the remaining timeline and the key events that must unfold.

The Shifting Timeline: Why Eiichiro Oda's 2025 Prediction Failed

Eiichiro Oda has always been the sole source of information regarding the end of his magnum opus, but his ambitious deadlines have consistently proven to be too optimistic. The 2025 prediction, which originated from a 2020 statement where he said the manga had "four or five years left," was the most recent firm date given to the public.

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Oda's Track Record of Missed Deadlines

• Early Predictions: The creator initially wanted to end One Piece within five years of its debut in 1997, a prediction he missed by decades.
• The 2020 Estimate: The most significant recent date was the 2025 target. This was based on the assumption that the Wano Country Arc would end sooner and the subsequent arcs would be shorter.
• The Reality of the Final Saga: The story has now entered the Final Saga, but the sheer volume of world-ending revelations, massive battles, and necessary character resolutions—especially involving the World Government, the Five Elders (Gorosei), and Imu—has made a 2025 conclusion impossible.

While Oda has claimed to have the entire ending planned out, the storytelling process itself, including his meticulous detail, necessary breaks, and the introduction of new, critical lore like the Void Century and the Ancient Weapons, means the story naturally expands beyond his initial estimates.

The Final Saga Roadmap: What Story Arcs Remain?

The current phase, the Final Saga, is expected to contain a handful of major arcs that will resolve all the long-standing mysteries of the One Piece universe. Based on the manga's current trajectory, these are the critical events and locations that must be covered, each potentially requiring a year or more of serialization.

1. The Elbaf Arc (Current Focus)

Following the chaos of the Egghead Incident, the Straw Hat Pirates are now moving toward Elbaf, the homeland of the Giants. This arc is highly anticipated, as it will likely be a crucial stop before Laugh Tale. It is expected to cover:

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• The history of the Giants and their connection to the Void Century.
• Further development of Usopp's character and his dream to become a brave warrior.
• Potential encounters with the Red Hair Pirates, led by Shanks, who has a strong connection to Elbaf.

2. The Final Road Poneglyph and Laugh Tale

Luffy and his crew still need to find the final Road Poneglyph to pinpoint the location of Laugh Tale, the final island and resting place of the One Piece treasure. This search will be a major arc, possibly involving a clash with the remaining Yonko, Blackbeard, or even the World Government's forces, who are also hunting for the information. The arrival at Laugh Tale (Raftel) will be a momentous arc, revealing the true nature of the world, the meaning of the Void Century, and the secret of the treasure left by Joy Boy.

3. The Final War Arc (The Climax)

The most anticipated and likely longest arc of the Final Saga will be the Final War. All signs point to a massive, world-changing conflict that will dwarf the Marineford War. This arc will pit the Straw Hat Grand Fleet, the Revolutionary Army led by Monkey D. Dragon, and various allies against the tyrannical forces of the World Government, the Marines, and the ultimate antagonist, Imu. This final battle is the culmination of decades of buildup and will resolve the fate of the entire world. Key entities involved will include:

• The Straw Hat Pirates and their allies.
• The Revolutionary Army and its leaders.
• The World Government and the Gorosei.
• The Marines, led by Fleet Admiral Akainu.
• The Blackbeard Pirates, vying for the One Piece.

Considering the scope of this final conflict, including multiple simultaneous battles and the resolution of countless subplots, this arc alone could easily span several years.

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The Most Realistic End Date Prediction: Years, Not Months

To accurately predict the end of One Piece, we must look at the number of remaining chapters and the manga's release schedule. The series typically releases about 35 to 40 chapters per year, factoring in Oda's necessary breaks and the occasional holiday hiatus.

Analyzing the Remaining Chapter Count

Fan and expert predictions, based on the current pace of the Final Saga, suggest that One Piece will require anywhere from 200 to 350 more chapters to conclude the story satisfactorily.

• Minimum Estimate (200 Chapters): At 35 chapters per year, 200 chapters would take approximately 5.7 years.
• Maximum Estimate (350 Chapters): At 35 chapters per year, 350 chapters would take approximately 10 years.

Given the complexity of the remaining plot points—Elbaf, the search for the final Poneglyph, Laugh Tale, and the massive Final War—a timeline closer to the middle or upper end of this range is more probable. Many analysts now agree that a four-year minimum is the most conservative estimate.

The Final Verdict on the End Date

While the goal of finding the One Piece is closer than ever, the series will not end in 2025. The most realistic, updated prediction for the conclusion of the One Piece manga is sometime between late 2029 and 2032.

This extended timeline allows Oda to give proper weight to the remaining arcs, ensure a satisfying resolution to all the mysteries of the Grand Line, and deliver the epic Final War that fans have been waiting two decades for. The Final Saga is here, but the grand finale will be a slow burn, not a rushed conclusion. Fans should prepare for another five to seven years of new chapters, thrilling plot twists, and the ultimate reveal of the treasure that started it all.